MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fe2ac89e2d93ec278d8882baa6f68d3578182b0ebcaf038ac045faf048b72ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed LG Twins | 65c | 2,574$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.08 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…887ebacked LG Twins | 65c | 1,085$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 391.48$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 280$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…0a80backed LG Twins | 67c | 278.07$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked LG Twins | 64c | 244.67$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lotte Giants | 33c | 233.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Lotte Giants | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 36c | 144.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 101.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LG Twins | 65c | 96.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed LG Twins | 49c | 83.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lotte Giants | 61c | 71.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…ec24backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 54.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Lotte Giants | 36c | 53.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Lotte Giants | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed LG Twins | 64c | 48.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…5b0dbacked LG Twins | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 45.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 62c | 42.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed LG Twins | 67c | 36.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed LG Twins | 53c | 29.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked LG Twins | 59c | 24.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked LG Twins | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 406 | 50.2%204 W · 202 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.