Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 4: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Yue Yuan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2b6b789d00133e52efd32c67a6f2169fe7a52c918b617fd8804240ab9bc4af9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yue Yuanof Ekaterine Gorgodze, Yue Yuan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 14c | 12,222$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.4 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 1c | 5,547$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 21c | 4,575$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.03 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…b380backed Yue Yuan | 77c | 3,958$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 7c | 2,664$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 1c | 2,578$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 370 | 58.6%217 W · 153 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 14c | 1,750$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yue Yuan | 69c | 1,430$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.59 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 20c | 1,428$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.92 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 31c | 1,234$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yue Yuan | 67c | 447.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 33c | 446.34$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 34c | 409.77$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.59 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 33c | 349.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yue Yuan | 68c | 235.59$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 23c | 231.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Yue Yuan | 67c | 213.34$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 24c | 202.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 16c | 186.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 30c | 166.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Yue Yuan | 69c | 159.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yue Yuan | 69c | 141.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 35c | 138.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 21c | 126.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 10c | 118.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Yue Yuan | 66c | 115.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yue Yuan | 71c | 114.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Yue Yuan | 69c | 113.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 165 | 60%99 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yue Yuan | 69c | 109.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df9…45debacked Yue Yuan | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Yue Yuan | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Yue Yuan | 66c | 91.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8b…9831backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 32c | 89.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Yue Yuan | 69c | 79.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa480…9248backed Yue Yuan | 70c | 77.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yue Yuan | 67c | 70.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yue Yuan | 70c | 65.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 31c | 64.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 30c | 63.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 32c | 60.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 134 | 67.2%90 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yue Yuan | 74c | 59.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 22c | 56.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…31dabacked Yue Yuan | 70c | 52.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 21c | 48.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 33c | 45.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yue Yuan | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Yue Yuan | 67c | 43.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 34c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…1be5backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 32c | 41.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 30c | 38.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…d68bbacked Yue Yuan | 70c | 37.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yue Yuan | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 314 | 63.1%198 W · 116 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yue Yuan | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…ec24backed Yue Yuan | 67c | 27.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yue Yuan | 74c | 23.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yue Yuan | 78c | 22.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 362 | 44.8%162 W · 200 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Yue Yuan | 69c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…31c5backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 53c | 19.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…17c4backed Yue Yuan | 67c | 17.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…3fb1backed Yue Yuan | 69c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 53 | 81.1%43 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.