College Football · resolved market
Spread: Iowa (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27a547dc68f96c92dfea3b2ef0d30cf6984f5b12b3687cce557363ac70c2ecfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowaof Iowa, Nebraska Cornhuskers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 36,273$19,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,121 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Iowa | 48c | 21,000$10,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,920 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 13,166$6,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,714.5 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Iowa | 49c | 10,909$5,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577.54 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iowa | 46c | 9,985$4,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387.84 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Iowa | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Iowa | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Iowa | 49c | 2,000$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Iowa | 48c | 1,965$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.58 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 56c | 1,369$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Iowa | 47c | 1,332$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.05 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Iowa | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 943.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.06 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Iowa | 43c | 877.19$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Iowa | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Iowa | 45c | 704$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.31 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Iowa | 38c | 644$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.22 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Iowa | 48c | 605$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.6 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Iowa | 50c | 555$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.38 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Iowa | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…c0d6backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54c | 400$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Iowa | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…2fd5backed Iowa | 48c | 299.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 57c | 250$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 195.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Iowa | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…6939backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 57c | 132.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Iowa | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…1f25backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Iowa | 27c | 91.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54c | 90.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iowa | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Iowa | 46c | 68.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b5…d27cbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Iowa | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 44.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 29.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 21.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 20.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iowa (-6.5)this page
- Iowa vs. Nebraska CornhuskersIowa won
- Iowa vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: 1H MoneylineIowa won
- Iowa vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 39.5Over won
- O/U 38.5Over won
- Spread: Iowa (-5.5)Iowa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.