NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x098b10ec5141d223f7423fa1142539919f5f5801ee79046981c23aaa6a65d6c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks | 50c | 17,326$8,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,611.15 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 50c | 13,371$6,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,687.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Hawks | 47c | 8,658$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,624.47 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawks | 49c | 8,599$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.27 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,734$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.13 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hawks | 54c | 4,456$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.06 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…512fbacked Hawks | 48c | 4,100$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…74c2backed Pelicans | 52c | 4,100$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans | 45c | 2,302$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.9 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hawks | 51c | 2,064$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.72 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 52c | 1,973$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,628$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.47 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans | 45c | 1,254$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.3 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 49c | 755$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 594.44$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 402.31$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Pelicans | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 50c | 337.64$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.24 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks | 45c | 332$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.53 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Hawks | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 49c | 293.26$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.62 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Hawks | 55c | 204$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Hawks | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Pelicans | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans | 48c | 142.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…2c3cbacked Hawks | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Hawks | 52c | 119.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks | 34c | 119.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pelicans | 51c | 115$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Pelicans | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Hawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Pelicans | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…41b5backed Hawks | 52c | 92.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Pelicans | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…60a4backed Hawks | 50c | 57.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Hawks | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…5916backed Hawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Hawks | 53c | 47.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Hawks | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 47c | 47.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Pelicans | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Hawks | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hawks | 57c | 42.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Hawks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Pelicans | 49c | 33.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Hawks | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pelicans | 50c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Hawks | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Pelicans | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans | 57c | 28.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Hawks | 51c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pelicans | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)this page
- Hawks vs. PelicansHawks won
- Hawks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.