NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf16efa4714cd049f052d4675ef3d441baa556edfc549ca74a71b3808adf5760f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 14,622$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,536.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 7,527$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.33 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 5,606$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.78 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 4,945$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.11 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over | 53c | 2,700$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 52c | 2,143$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.8 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…f556backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,312$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.24 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…2d12backed Under | 50c | 601.06$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 52c | 588$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.24 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 499.94$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.97 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 49c | 443.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.43 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 386$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Over | 51c | 170.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 149.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fce…dcb4backed Over | 49c | 144.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…a202backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Over | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…5a06backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 48c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Over | 51c | 71.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…16d3backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 50c | 39.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 51c | 38.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be2…6b2abacked Over | 54c | 37.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae66backed Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…f491backed Over | 51c | 24.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…f84ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5this page
- Hawks vs. PelicansHawks won
- Hawks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.