MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x450004d4ee03e192bb62d69174c030752a6c7ef6293119cc90c36f41c69d9901
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Orioles, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cdd…c765backed Red Sox | 56c | 30,490$17,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,415.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7282…18c8backed Orioles | 44c | 30,490$13,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,415.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Red Sox | 56c | 4,320$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.12 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 45c | 4,279$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.72 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Red Sox | 54c | 3,539$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.24 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 53c | 3,274$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.58 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 44c | 3,118$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 45c | 3,054$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.68 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c83…9655backed Orioles | 45c | 1,931$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Orioles | 47c | 1,896$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.13 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…9d2fbacked Orioles | 45c | 1,778$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Red Sox | 54c | 1,000$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.45 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…5b24backed Red Sox | 55c | 982$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…f93ebacked Red Sox | 55c | 949$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Red Sox | 54c | 936.39$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.92 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…16adbacked Red Sox | 55c | 918$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Orioles | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50fe…88fdbacked Red Sox | 55c | 860$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 55c | 819.95$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.98 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Orioles | 6c | 810$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Red Sox | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox | 54c | 665.85$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Red Sox | 69c | 664.66$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.4 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Orioles | 44c | 640.14$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.46 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox | 52c | 461$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.28 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Red Sox | 54c | 450$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.89 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Red Sox | 56c | 356.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.08 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Red Sox | 57c | 333$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 4c | 323$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Orioles | 39c | 262.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Orioles | 62c | 243.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.21 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…5739backed Orioles | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Red Sox | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Orioles | 45c | 170.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Red Sox | 55c | 117.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…cfccbacked Orioles | 45c | 117.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…c579backed Orioles | 48c | 110.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…e4b4backed Red Sox | 54c | 100.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Red Sox | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…7473backed Red Sox | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bac…f7b1backed Red Sox | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5347backed Orioles | 48c | 99.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…29d9backed Red Sox | 54c | 99.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…1605backed Orioles | 45c | 97.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…1b91backed Red Sox | 54c | 97.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…c6bcbacked Red Sox | 57c | 95.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Red Sox | 54c | 94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb7…ae2abacked Red Sox | 57c | 93.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d0…2811backed Orioles | 45c | 93.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa1…345fbacked Orioles | 45c | 92.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…4addbacked Red Sox | 54c | 91.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84e…f79fbacked Orioles | 48c | 90.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Red Sox | 55c | 90.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…0444backed Orioles | 48c | 90.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…89e5backed Orioles | 48c | 89.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Red Sox | 56c | 88.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…0b99backed Red Sox | 57c | 86.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…a64ebacked Orioles | 48c | 86.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…5841backed Red Sox | 57c | 84.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…20a3backed Red Sox | 54c | 84.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…a22ebacked Red Sox | 57c | 83.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878f…0084backed Orioles | 45c | 81.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…799abacked Red Sox | 57c | 81.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…b6f2backed Red Sox | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…2904backed Orioles | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1864…f296backed Red Sox | 55c | 78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Orioles | 45c | 74.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f2…776fbacked Orioles | 45c | 63.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Red Sox | 53c | 60.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Red Sox | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Red Sox | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Red Sox | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Red Sox | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Red Sox | 54c | 37.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Orioles | 50c | 37.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Red Sox | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 44c | 31.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Red Sox | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Orioles | 41c | 25.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Red Sox | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3539…b17bbacked Red Sox | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Red Sox | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Red Sox | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Red Sox | 55c | 19.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.