NHL · resolved market
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42f0b036e87e9e8175d316a8dd9f94cfff1a601f6eb88cde702dd38e3e66c359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Panthers, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 35c | 6,731$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.81 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rangers | 67c | 3,589$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.76 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Panthers | 33c | 3,539$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.25 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Rangers | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rangers | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 65c | 1,140$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Panthers | 33c | 565.05$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers | 64c | 489$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.04 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rangers | 65c | 369.85$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 36c | 313$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rangers | 64c | 277.78$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa7…b707backed Panthers | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Panthers | 36c | 242$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Rangers | 67c | 223.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Rangers | 64c | 181.89$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Rangers | 65c | 164.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…4f71backed Rangers | 69c | 144.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…cf95backed Rangers | 67c | 136.15$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Panthers | 37c | 127.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Panthers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Panthers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Rangers | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dc…8125backed Panthers | 36c | 80.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…b6bdbacked Panthers | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Panthers | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Rangers | 65c | 72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Rangers | 65c | 72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers | 32c | 69.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…4260backed Rangers | 65c | 61.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Rangers | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Panthers | 34c | 58.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Rangers | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Rangers | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rangers | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Rangers | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Panthers | 35c | 45.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Rangers | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Rangers | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Rangers | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Rangers | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Rangers | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Rangers | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Rangers | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Rangers | 65c | 33.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Rangers | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Rangers | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rangers | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Rangers | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Rangers | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Rangers | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Rangers | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Rangers | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Rangers | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Rangers | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Rangers | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Rangers | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Rangers | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Rangers | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Rangers | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Rangers | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Rangers | 67c | 17.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)this page
- Rangers vs. PanthersRangers won
- Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.