Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe329ab82a215ebcce19698c29282c294fd372d18d83de5d9d7e48a2d758e557d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 64c | 20,000$12,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,151.25 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 36c | 13,990$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.51 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 35c | 4,787$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.31 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 34c | 3,028$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.7 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 33c | 2,556$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.97 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 67c | 1,186$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.38 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 67c | 1,167$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.18 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 34c | 768.76$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Yes | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 25c | 556$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 67c | 502$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.7 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 34c | 400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 15c | 344.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 67c | 303.91$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 34c | 289.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 281.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes | 79c | 189.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 67c | 173$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 34c | 149.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 67c | 148.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 68c | 147.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 75c | 137.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 37c | 122$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes | 65c | 116.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…1ec7backed Yes | 67c | 106.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Yes | 66c | 105.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ede…5c8dbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 63c | 99.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed No | 35c | 97.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…910abacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 66c | 65.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 33c | 64.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 33c | 64.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 32c | 53.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b8…6e30backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Yes | 66c | 40.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Yes | 67c | 37.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 65c | 30.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…a780backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…e1ebbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f59…04cdbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…fdffbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…80c9backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked No | 35c | 29.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…85cabacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…ce79backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 68c | 19.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-01?this page
- Will FC Arouca vs. SC Braga end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Arouca win on 2025-12-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.