Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfe80f85f3daf22b8104b32a9cba8ed9d1a64c4c96e668d149d6e1ea9c88d6a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 56c | 33,745$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,745.5 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 17,326$7,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,867.54 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 44c | 14,500$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 42c | 7,279$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Under | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 4,191$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.88 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Under | 78c | 3,220$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.29 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Under | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 1,687$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…3578backed Over | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 41c | 1,499$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.43 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 1,157$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.65 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Under | 40c | 1,012$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.34 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Over | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 59c | 628.85$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.27 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 60c | 584$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 515.19$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.55 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Under | 46c | 452.3$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 41c | 444$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.96 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 47c | 428$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.16 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Over | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 59c | 387.02$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.34 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Over | 40c | 249.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…8e4bbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Over | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 41c | 156.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 43c | 131.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Over | 59c | 118.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 39c | 112.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…4255backed Over | 61c | 103.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…0074backed Under | 44c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…ab3fbacked Over | 58c | 84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 40c | 82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Over | 34c | 74.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Over | 40c | 64.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 42c | 58.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 37c | 57.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 49.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 45c | 43.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…6779backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…622cbacked Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Over | 58c | 34.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…9587backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…2209backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.