Premier League · resolved market
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18ac59779fc947d8d0fd4c9022f22b7ee37c264c11c1cd16e4bfa9ab76cc9caa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burnley FCof AFC Bournemouth, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Burnley FC | 59c | 6,143$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.52 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AFC Bournemouth | 38c | 4,622$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.27 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 40c | 3,595$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.87 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed AFC Bournemouth | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Burnley FC | 59c | 1,124$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Burnley FC | 59c | 1,061$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.71 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Burnley FC | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 42c | 720$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed AFC Bournemouth | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked AFC Bournemouth | 41c | 510$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Burnley FC | 58c | 510$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked AFC Bournemouth | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked AFC Bournemouth | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed AFC Bournemouth | 40c | 236.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed AFC Bournemouth | 35c | 202.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Burnley FC | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Burnley FC | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Burnley FC | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Burnley FC | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Burnley FC | 75c | 144$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed AFC Bournemouth | 40c | 124.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Burnley FC | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked AFC Bournemouth | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed AFC Bournemouth | 42c | 88.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…0009backed Burnley FC | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Burnley FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Burnley FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Burnley FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Burnley FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Burnley FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Burnley FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Burnley FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Burnley FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Burnley FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Burnley FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Burnley FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Burnley FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Burnley FC | 60c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked AFC Bournemouth | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Burnley FC | 60c | 52.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Burnley FC | 61c | 51.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed AFC Bournemouth | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…bde4backed AFC Bournemouth | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked AFC Bournemouth | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Burnley FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Burnley FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Burnley FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Burnley FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Burnley FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Burnley FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Burnley FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Burnley FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Burnley FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Burnley FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Burnley FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Burnley FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Burnley FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Burnley FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…c95cbacked AFC Bournemouth | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Burnley FC | 64c | 32.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Burnley FC | 63c | 31.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Burnley FC | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Burnley FC | 63c | 29.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…01b0backed AFC Bournemouth | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed AFC Bournemouth | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5294…cf41backed Burnley FC | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.