Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65417a977413f32a6a5b308badef9a98f02c22a8ef07a37dedf8f480ecc11224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 73c | 6,005$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.79 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 15c | 2,362$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.9 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.86 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 76c | 1,201$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 823.27$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.21 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 62c | 756.4$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 695.89$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.96 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 34c | 545$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 64c | 444$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 66c | 399.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 31c | 369.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.4 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Over | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 285.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c8…8538backed Under | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 38c | 245$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 73c | 234.3$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 38c | 72.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fff…9d61backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5294…cf41backed Under | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Over | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 64c | 29.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 63c | 19.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.