Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x120cf0a1158d73d0653819b79b4bcb93883fa61d14a91e90661091a472887a77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 35c | 2,711$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.89 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Over | 49c | 2,535$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.7 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 3c | 2,500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 3c | 2,200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 810.7$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.19 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 48c | 320$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 177.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 76c | 137.04$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 26c | 123.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 63c | 97.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 18c | 78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 62c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 45c | 33.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 43c | 32.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Under | 46c | 25.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…abd4backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 22.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.