Other European Leagues · resolved market
Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57e18a477c93579127fc2e883dc6cc00dbeb1b2470ddaec8accf0d734bfe4f96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 79c | 2,555$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.84 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 2,295$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.01 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 21c | 999.72$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.94 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 20c | 652.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 21c | 350.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 246.85$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 78c | 245$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 235.36$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 56c | 222.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 132.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 128$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 40c | 123.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 58c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 70c | 71.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 67.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 76c | 67.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 63c | 66.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 64.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 79c | 53.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 42c | 43.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 79c | 26.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Over | 80c | 25.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: NAC Breda (-1.5)Telstar 1963 won
- Spread: NAC Breda (-2.5)Telstar 1963 won
- Spread: Telstar 1963 (-1.5)Telstar 1963 won
- Spread: Telstar 1963 (-2.5)Telstar 1963 won
- Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5Under won
- Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.