Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California-San Diego Tritons vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19a68a779006a1bec20b021a129c515735054ea7e837338fa4e83c5c1ccfbf0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cal State Fullerton Titansof California-San Diego Tritons, Cal State Fullerton Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,677 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 33c | 5,541$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed California-San Diego Tritons | 62c | 3,248$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.87 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 36c | 2,245$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.33 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 27c | 2,064$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.24 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 66c | 1,566$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.69 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 41c | 1,247$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.34 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 16c | 1,221$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.73 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed California-San Diego Tritons | 65c | 1,215$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.92 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 59c | 1,205$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.66 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed California-San Diego Tritons | 59c | 1,115$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.07 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 64c | 1,086$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.95 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 63c | 960.18$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.29 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed California-San Diego Tritons | 60c | 862.93$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.76 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed California-San Diego Tritons | 65c | 803.45$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.76 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed California-San Diego Tritons | 59c | 715.41$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.09 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 54c | 652.28$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.82 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed California-San Diego Tritons | 63c | 616.02$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.19 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 40c | 599.29$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.58 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed California-San Diego Tritons | 71c | 597.69$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.75 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 42c | 543.48$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.22 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed California-San Diego Tritons | 64c | 527.99$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.24 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 500.8$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.49 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 41c | 492.8$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 25c | 432.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.96 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 26c | 399.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.67 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed California-San Diego Tritons | 60c | 383.5$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.1 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 376.51$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.46 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 40c | 374.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.87 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 41c | 362.76$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.03 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed California-San Diego Tritons | 62c | 345.13$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 48c | 321.17$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.19 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 73c | 298.07$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 278.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 34c | 276.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.79 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 39c | 270.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 72c | 242.58$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.86 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 63c | 237.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 39c | 199.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 41c | 180.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 43c | 162.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 74c | 134.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 53c | 121.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed California-San Diego Tritons | 57c | 117.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…bba5backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 41c | 97.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 31c | 95.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…b482backed California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 93.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 39c | 83.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 81.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 26c | 64.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 27c | 63.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 39c | 56.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…2ec7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 58c | 52.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed California-San Diego Tritons | 60c | 41.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 56c | 39.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 40c | 37.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 37.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 59c | 36.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 32c | 35.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 63c | 34.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 32.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 39c | 31.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 42c | 30.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 48c | 25.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed California-San Diego Tritons | 80c | 23.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 23.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. Cal State Fullerton Titansthis page
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-3.5)Cal State Fullerton Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.