Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5bc80cfe14b31c4ab4829176d4919720e317bd4548eb1bd3d3c840454134f5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 64c | 42,337$27,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,068.63 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 11,048$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,928.71 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 36c | 7,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 36c | 5,993$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.42 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,915$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.16 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 36c | 2,400$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 36c | 2,400$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.62 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 35c | 1,330$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.91 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 36c | 1,153$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.29 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 64c | 954.12$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.64 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 37c | 813.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.78 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 32c | 750$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 32c | 688$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.84 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 36c | 640$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.6 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 32c | 425$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.66 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Under | 52c | 399$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 18c | 270$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 21c | 254$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 36c | 240$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 36c | 240$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 65c | 184.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 52c | 174$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Under | 65c | 155$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Over | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 59c | 145.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…8ec3backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 64c | 134.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 63c | 115$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 56c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 37c | 108.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2667backed Under | 64c | 106.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 36c | 96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 36c | 96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 36c | 96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 36c | 96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 36c | 96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 36c | 96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 36c | 96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 36c | 96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 36c | 96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 36c | 96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 54c | 74.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Over | 37c | 72.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 36c | 71.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 37c | 48.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Under | 66c | 47.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Under | 67c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 36c | 40.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Under | 56c | 38.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 36c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 36c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Under | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.