La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x805d18160cd7dd4ec4607d7266aaf0c6ec13de57c349085142bbb02c771da40b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 54c | 50,825$27,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,442.11 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 30,325$13,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,375.5 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 11,830$5,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,032.28 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 5,431$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.93 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked No | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 57c | 2,193$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.69 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,684$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.2 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 794.22$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 64c | 747$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.92 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 42c | 499.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Yes | 43c | 485$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 46c | 469.96$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.78 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 56c | 405.83$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.43 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 376.46$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.82 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 34c | 305.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 251.95$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7a…f1c6backed Yes | 55c | 219$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…0576backed Yes | 55c | 217$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfe…0649backed No | 45c | 216$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580f…2873backed Yes | 55c | 213$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abf…15e4backed No | 45c | 207$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…cc3dbacked No | 45c | 206$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…025bbacked Yes | 55c | 205$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 57c | 166.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7959…c7b0backed Yes | 57c | 149.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 147.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 13c | 114.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1b05backed No | 46c | 101.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 44c | 76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 43c | 69.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x650c…a072backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Yes | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…7138backed Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241b…aa5cbacked No | 71c | 14.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will FC Andorra vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.