Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Tarleton State Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f7b33c274f54b2c012754415887384324e5962d691a745b4490070de44f3f36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UT Arlington Mavericksof UT Arlington Mavericks, Tarleton State Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,541 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 56c | 6,610$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.63 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 54c | 4,437$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.44 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tarleton State Texans | 43c | 3,760$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.4 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 3,177$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.8 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 2,002$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.98 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Tarleton State Texans | 58c | 1,785$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.1 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 45c | 1,444$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.52 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 42c | 1,370$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.59 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 1,103$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.76 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 63c | 874.84$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.6 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 874.68$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.81 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 810.91$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Tarleton State Texans | 56c | 798.72$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.28 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 752.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 45c | 650$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.16 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tarleton State Texans | 46c | 582.99$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.77 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 59c | 582.57$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.33 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 529.74$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.76 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 52c | 499.32$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.57 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Tarleton State Texans | 47c | 444.24$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 54c | 438.6$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.55 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 54c | 371.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.61 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 45c | 330.12$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tarleton State Texans | 38c | 329.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 36c | 322.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 316.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 295.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Tarleton State Texans | 26c | 281.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 53c | 229$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 214.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 202.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Tarleton State Texans | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 199.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 55c | 171.44$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…fdbcbacked Tarleton State Texans | 60c | 155.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 45c | 149.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 45c | 142.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 55c | 142.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 141.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 43c | 140.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Tarleton State Texans | 53c | 117.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tarleton State Texans | 23c | 107.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 53c | 102.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 101.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tarleton State Texans | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 43c | 99.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Tarleton State Texans | 54c | 99.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tarleton State Texans | 32c | 96.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Tarleton State Texans | 54c | 90.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Tarleton State Texans | 45c | 89.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Tarleton State Texans | 31c | 88.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 45c | 86.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 36c | 83.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Tarleton State Texans | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Tarleton State Texans | 56c | 69.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Tarleton State Texans | 20c | 68.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Tarleton State Texans | 56c | 67.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Tarleton State Texans | 28c | 64.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 57c | 60.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tarleton State Texans | 23c | 60.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tarleton State Texans | 31c | 56.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tarleton State Texans | 41c | 53.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 43c | 52.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Tarleton State Texans | 44c | 42.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Tarleton State Texans | 58c | 42.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Tarleton State Texans | 44c | 39.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Tarleton State Texans | 56c | 26.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Tarleton State Texans | 58c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Tarleton State Texans | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Tarleton State Texansthis page
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-1.5)UT Arlington Mavericks won
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-2.5)UT Arlington Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.