TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesof South Dakota State Jackrabbits, St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,022 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd37a…2358backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies69c2,423$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.461,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies69c1,984$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.863,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits30c1,795$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.415556.4%31 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits1c1,506$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.061,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits32c1,134$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.8629845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies70c808.11$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.121,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits35c585.2$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.031,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits38c559.45$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.091,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies69c505.69$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3211362.8%71 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies58c474.11$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.139051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits31c439.67$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5725837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies61c322.83$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.722,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies70c247.55$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2625946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies70c246.36$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8843053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits30c199.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.91,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies63c192.47$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.263,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits40c178.97$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits29c178.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits31c177.21$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5238837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits31c159.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5450548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies62c152.6$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0993247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies69c144.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8230649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits31c128.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits32c123.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits32c116.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.389146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies45c109.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.987648.7%37 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies70c96.88$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7625337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits38c92.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.314,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits38c87.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7394036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies70c85.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.714,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies68c76.26$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.42,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits34c72.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.862140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies63c70.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2271655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits29c66.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9449157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits34c64.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits30c60.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.051,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits32c56.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies67c54.12$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.732,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits20c49.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.148834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits31c48.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1611840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits31c48.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9458652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits32c45.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6161244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies62c38.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.581,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits31c37.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies68c36.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6813450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies63c29.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0127055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits37c29.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8333445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies69c26.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.253554.3%19 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-22.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36f0…2711backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies69c20.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.416162.3%38 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies64c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies75c19.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.883666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies68c17.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.67865.4%51 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.