Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3097d1b5dc8de15ff660ea766dc82d23602643d95320de26ed16d4f81e1ce6cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesof St. Thomas (MN) Tommies, South Dakota State Jackrabbits
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,520 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 51c | 5,883$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.61 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 49c | 5,847$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.08 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 55c | 991.34$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.1 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 49c | 901.8$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 50c | 587$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.23 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 49c | 520.56$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…4cf7backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 49c | 484.72$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 49c | 402.45$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 49c | 303.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 49c | 283.22$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 48c | 189.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 51c | 155.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 50c | 148.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 46c | 140.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 50c | 115.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 53c | 85.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 51c | 60.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 47c | 56.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 49c | 49.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 52c | 47.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 49c | 44.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 46c | 43.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 47c | 27.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 49c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…0faabacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 55c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-5.5)this page
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. St. Thomas (MN) TommiesSt. Thomas (MN) Tommies won
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: O/U 148.5Under won
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: O/U 149.5Under won
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-6.5)St. Thomas (MN) Tommies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.