TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Colgate Raiders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colgate Raidersof Loyola Maryland Greyhounds, Colgate Raiders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,982 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds26c3,399$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.745,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Colgate Raiders77c3,071$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.211,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colgate Raiders72c2,222$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.162,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae84…fd9dbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds28c1,688$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.642330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-38.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds24c937.2$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.041,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds28c890.13$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.8555532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcede…6736backed Colgate Raiders71c856.29$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.322321.7%5 W · 18 L-7.5wins-0.33per pick54cpaid-66.3%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds3c600$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Colgate Raiders78c510.71$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.264,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds17c510.04$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.511,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds28c477.85$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.829845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds19c415.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.295,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Colgate Raiders74c388.01$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.453,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Colgate Raiders78c382.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9577142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds19c318.95$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.662,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Colgate Raiders71c278.57$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Colgate Raiders73c232.39$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7423754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Colgate Raiders75c217.67$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds23c216.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.691861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds24c214.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds28c199.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds24c169.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.015246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Colgate Raiders71c140.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.69470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds29c129.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.472,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds21c124.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4325337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Colgate Raiders77c123.87$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.143,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds30c115.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5425837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Colgate Raiders78c105.36$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4433445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Colgate Raiders72c104.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.349157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Colgate Raiders75c103.96$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds17c101.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.351,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x473b…a5a0backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Colgate Raiders73c99.92$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5943053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…08eabacked Colgate Raiders71c99.28$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds17c76.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.951,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Colgate Raiders65c76.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.711330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds28c73.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5720834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4e…2ec7backed Colgate Raiders72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.63148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds18c61.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9925239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Colgate Raiders72c54.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.221,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds31c49.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.388834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x492d…2f04backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds26c48.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.915253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds28c46.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.167346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds30c42.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7516140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds29c39.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Colgate Raiders71c34.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1413450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Colgate Raiders70c34.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3282846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Colgate Raiders72c27.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7771655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Colgate Raiders70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23be…4489backed Colgate Raiders71c19.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Colgate Raiders73c17.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6492246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Colgate Raiders76c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.