Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pepperdine Waves vs. Portland Pilots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0602cec5f6ea067e1e807d9a1d616ff3342f820225ad58ef126e7ecaaaeb2b16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Pilotsof Pepperdine Waves, Portland Pilots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,234 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Portland Pilots | 59c | 5,544$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.56 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pepperdine Waves | 42c | 4,240$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.89 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Portland Pilots | 57c | 2,935$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.04 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pepperdine Waves | 44c | 2,892$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.59 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Pepperdine Waves | 35c | 1,942$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.04 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Portland Pilots | 71c | 1,938$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.34 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Portland Pilots | 58c | 1,677$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.79 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Portland Pilots | 74c | 1,396$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.3 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pepperdine Waves | 24c | 1,390$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.81 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pepperdine Waves | 2c | 1,361$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pepperdine Waves | 26c | 1,274$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Pepperdine Waves | 21c | 898.73$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Pepperdine Waves | 43c | 790.55$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.94 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pepperdine Waves | 27c | 616.5$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pepperdine Waves | 42c | 575.49$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.04 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Pepperdine Waves | 44c | 514.5$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.38 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Portland Pilots | 60c | 462.75$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.1 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Portland Pilots | 57c | 458.61$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…253abacked Portland Pilots | 72c | 434.81$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Portland Pilots | 76c | 409.45$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Pepperdine Waves | 41c | 374.65$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Portland Pilots | 60c | 355.49$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland Pilots | 58c | 352.83$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pepperdine Waves | 44c | 314.27$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Pepperdine Waves | 43c | 297.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pepperdine Waves | 41c | 274.21$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland Pilots | 57c | 266.92$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pepperdine Waves | 20c | 248.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Portland Pilots | 60c | 247.9$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pepperdine Waves | 10c | 238.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Portland Pilots | 80c | 229.08$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29a…d236backed Portland Pilots | 56c | 224.83$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Portland Pilots | 79c | 215.45$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pepperdine Waves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pepperdine Waves | 44c | 199.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Pepperdine Waves | 43c | 199.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Portland Pilots | 58c | 179.46$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Portland Pilots | 60c | 165.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pepperdine Waves | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 12c | 140.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Portland Pilots | 57c | 135.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Pepperdine Waves | 43c | 132.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Portland Pilots | 79c | 121.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…1d57backed Pepperdine Waves | 42c | 120.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Portland Pilots | 57c | 99.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pepperdine Waves | 24c | 95.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 27c | 91.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Portland Pilots | 57c | 91.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Portland Pilots | 79c | 89.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Pepperdine Waves | 44c | 87.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pepperdine Waves | 22c | 86.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Pepperdine Waves | 37c | 60.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Pepperdine Waves | 42c | 60.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Pepperdine Waves | 27c | 59.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Portland Pilots | 56c | 52.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Pepperdine Waves | 40c | 50.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Pepperdine Waves | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Portland Pilots | 56c | 34.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Pepperdine Waves | 44c | 33.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…6becbacked Portland Pilots | 75c | 31.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Pepperdine Waves | 43c | 30.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Portland Pilots | 57c | 27.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Portland Pilots | 57c | 25.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Pepperdine Waves | 42c | 24.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 44c | 23.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Portland Pilots | 56c | 22.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Portland Pilots | 60c | 21.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Portland Pilots | 78c | 20.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Portland Pilots | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Portland Pilots | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Portland Pilots | 78c | 13.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pepperdine Waves vs. Portland Pilotsthis page
- Pepperdine Waves vs. Portland Pilots: O/U 152.5Under won
- Pepperdine Waves vs. Portland Pilots: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Portland Pilots (-1.5)Portland Pilots won
- Spread: Portland Pilots (-2.5)Portland Pilots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.