MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52fb9351124da47c83c88c32c779c537e36b64204b0bcccd3efe9e794474cdbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof San Francisco Giants, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 75,133$46,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,141.16 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 57,182$20,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,494.04 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 39,519$9,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,614.53 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 30,597$12,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,238.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 21,430$14,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,611.89 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 17,675$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 13,469$3,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 13,055$7,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,744.37 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a23…4454backed San Francisco Giants | 8c | 11,731$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 6,784$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.34 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 6,363$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.11 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 29c | 5,933$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.01 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 72c | 5,846$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.94 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Francisco Giants | 0c | 5,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 5,545$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.69 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 3,040$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.47 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Francisco Giants | 2c | 2,796$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 2,333$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.33 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 2,326$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.07 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 2,055$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.63 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,880$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.47 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,701$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.76 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20bb…9732backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8922backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 1,647$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 1,568$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 1,462$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.87 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.78 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed San Francisco Giants | 6c | 1,305$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 1,257$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,126$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.32 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 1,024$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.92 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 1,001$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.23 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…9ea9backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 972.12$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.29 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 920$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.6 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 879$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.39 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 810.21$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.39 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 800.57$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 662.6$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.22 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 648.11$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.69 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 644.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 626.85$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.55 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 623.91$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.52 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 620.19$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 2c | 600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 579.19$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.05 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 536.06$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.14 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 530$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 516.37$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.33 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 515.12$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.12 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 469.82$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.76 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Miami Marlins | 66c | 457.62$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.81 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 448.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 419.96$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.78 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 410.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 399.98$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked San Francisco Giants | 6c | 394.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 384.52$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 383$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 379.42$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 379$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 374$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.82 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 359.31$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 344.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…401fbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 344.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 342.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 295$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 284.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Miami Marlins | 77c | 270.89$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 241.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 234.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51fdbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 222.7$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 210.5$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 210$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed San Francisco Giants | 15c | 209.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 206$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 188.66$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 188.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 184.21$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 170$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 168.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 164.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.