TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami Marlinsof San Francisco Giants, Miami Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$330,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$303,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins63c75,133$46,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,141.1685645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed San Francisco Giants36c57,182$20,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,494.046653%35 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants24c39,519$9,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,614.534,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed San Francisco Giants40c30,597$12,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,238.731233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins69c21,430$14,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,611.898,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants44c17,675$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants25c13,469$3,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,353.2710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Miami Marlins56c13,055$7,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,744.3744851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a23…4454backed San Francisco Giants8c11,731$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants20c6,784$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.344,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins78c6,363$4,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.1195045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants29c5,933$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.012,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins72c5,846$4,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.9411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked San Francisco Giants0c5,600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants33c5,545$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.6912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins57c3,040$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.471,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Francisco Giants2c2,796$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9237032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Miami Marlins57c2,333$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.337758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Miami Marlins58c2,326$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.078053.8%43 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants43c2,055$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.631,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Francisco Giants43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9975248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants43c1,880$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.472,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants43c1,860$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.81,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants43c1,701$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.762,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20bb…9732backed Miami Marlins60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8922backed San Francisco Giants17c1,647$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28060%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed San Francisco Giants4c1,568$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4640629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins62c1,462$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.871,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Miami Marlins57c1,316$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.7836246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcd…0320backed San Francisco Giants6c1,305$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins72c1,257$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.529,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ab…0d2dbacked Miami Marlins57c1,126$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.3211255.4%62 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Miami Marlins77c1,024$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9240043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins77c1,001$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.234,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…9ea9backed Miami Marlins58c972.12$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.292268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Miami Marlins57c920$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.617853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins58c879$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.392,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked San Francisco Giants43c810.21$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.3948147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants35c800.57$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.34,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked Miami Marlins57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.756139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants42c662.6$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.223,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants43c648.11$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.6977951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants3c644.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.258,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked San Francisco Giants43c626.85$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5527751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Miami Marlins56c623.91$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.5239056.9%222 W · 168 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd82…9f66backed San Francisco Giants44c620.19$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27015937.7%60 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants2c600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.71,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Miami Marlins57c579.19$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.051,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins59c536.06$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.146,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Miami Marlins57c530$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.926948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed San Francisco Giants43c516.37$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.3337944.3%168 W · 211 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Miami Marlins65c515.12$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.127356.2%41 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked San Francisco Giants44c469.82$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.7614841.2%61 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e4…a1adbacked Miami Marlins66c457.62$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8113264.4%85 W · 47 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked San Francisco Giants36c448.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.381,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants44c419.96$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.782,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed San Francisco Giants5c410.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.624043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Miami Marlins56c399.98$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked San Francisco Giants6c394.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1570737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed San Francisco Giants37c384.52$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8219934.2%68 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed San Francisco Giants42c383$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8668846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins56c379.42$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.446,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed San Francisco Giants42c379$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1844643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked San Francisco Giants43c374$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.821,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins63c359.31$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Miami Marlins57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8827357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants44c344.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.741,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27a9…401fbacked Miami Marlins58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Miami Marlins58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8323145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Miami Marlins57c344.67$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6837052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x640b…d920backed Miami Marlins59c342.2$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.834454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd47d…322bbacked San Francisco Giants43c295$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8513552.6%71 W · 64 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants35c284.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6192046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a17…5f06backed San Francisco Giants35c280$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Miami Marlins77c270.89$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.314142.6%60 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Miami Marlins57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1622153.4%118 W · 103 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Miami Marlins58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6252947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Miami Marlins58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10581257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Miami Marlins65c241.54$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0328952.6%152 W · 137 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants35c234.35$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.826,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51fdbacked San Francisco Giants44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Miami Marlins71c222.7$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.363,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Miami Marlins57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5354455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Miami Marlins68c210.5$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.688053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Miami Marlins57c210$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.350647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed San Francisco Giants15c209.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.521,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Miami Marlins62c206$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2857046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Miami Marlins65c200$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.465651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Miami Marlins58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8412957.4%74 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Miami Marlins57c192.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9818860.1%113 W · 75 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins76c188.66$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.664,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed San Francisco Giants45c188.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2735849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Miami Marlins57c184.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2167449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Miami Marlins58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b22…9431backed Miami Marlins58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked San Francisco Giants43c170$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.11,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Miami Marlins59c168.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2534255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed San Francisco Giants44c164.96$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.531,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Miami Marlins56c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7173849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.