MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01a6ab43abe8212c5f415e7cc0eb1d34aaf28ca30134a550fa940513ce5e8c77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Astros | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.96 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Angels | 40c | 12,170$4,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,868.11 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Angels | 40c | 10,727$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.8 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Astros | 70c | 9,849$6,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Astros | 52c | 9,810$5,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.81 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 65c | 6,934$4,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.76 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…8d19backed Angels | 62c | 6,168$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 45c | 4,062$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Astros | 66c | 3,662$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.68 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels | 39c | 3,394$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.75 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Angels | 40c | 3,333$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.2 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 52c | 3,307$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.83 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…c4dabacked Angels | 49c | 2,935$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels | 30c | 2,632$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Astros | 79c | 2,547$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.89 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Angels | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Angels | 26c | 2,485$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.18 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Angels | 35c | 2,424$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.75 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Angels | 40c | 2,373$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.61 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Astros | 39c | 2,355$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.43 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 60c | 2,338$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.39 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 73c | 1,993$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.74 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Astros | 52c | 1,922$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.09 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Astros | 72c | 1,806$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.78 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Angels | 39c | 1,800$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.88 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Astros | 60c | 1,657$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.68 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Angels | 44c | 1,582$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.26 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 62c | 1,353$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.66 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Angels | 26c | 1,343$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.39 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 71c | 1,261$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.62 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Astros | 70c | 1,187$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.57 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 68c | 1,123$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.22 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd98…e83abacked Astros | 72c | 1,110$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Astros | 69c | 1,094$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…918fbacked Astros | 65c | 1,008$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Angels | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Angels | 40c | 994.09$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.64 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Astros | 59c | 920.61$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.61 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 61c | 915.88$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.08 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…437cbacked Astros | 60c | 733.58$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.43 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Astros | 59c | 679.13$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.44 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 56c | 668.02$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.76 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Astros | 57c | 619.58$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.58 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Astros | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Angels | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Angels | 25c | 480.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Astros | 61c | 478.79$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.88 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Angels | 32c | 459.38$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 61c | 433.33$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.33 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Astros | 68c | 425.78$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Angels | 40c | 410$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Angels | 39c | 399.91$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Astros | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Astros | 56c | 360.41$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.58 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Astros | 73c | 355.41$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.13 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Astros | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 59c | 343.49$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.46 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Angels | 40c | 330.05$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Astros | 67c | 316.88$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 65c | 309.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Angels | 59c | 286.47$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.64 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 37c | 270.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 64c | 250.36$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…0d95backed Astros | 61c | 229$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Astros | 53c | 223.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Angels | 39c | 221.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Astros | 78c | 211.64$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Angels | 35c | 204.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Angels | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf83…77eabacked Angels | 40c | 189$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…c028backed Angels | 39c | 176.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2667…7c47backed Astros | 61c | 171$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3929…72cabacked Angels | 40c | 159$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…42a9backed Angels | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…caedbacked Angels | 39c | 153.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Astros | 59c | 153.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…ce83backed Astros | 61c | 152$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Astros | 61c | 152$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…d09abacked Astros | 61c | 152$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Astros | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…9864backed Angels | 39c | 148.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…a910backed Angels | 40c | 138$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Angels | 40c | 133$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 44c | 126.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…882cbacked Angels | 40c | 126$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Angels | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…456dbacked Astros | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…9eb8backed Astros | 61c | 123$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Astros | 70c | 119.46$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…654cbacked Angels | 40c | 118$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Astros | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Angels | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…b3d5backed Astros | 61c | 107$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…acf8backed Angels | 40c | 106$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…a3ffbacked Astros | 65c | 103.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Astros | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Angels | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.