Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
BYU Cougars vs. Dayton Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa02296851f7c241596cf0cef9c9dd5fa59f8cba7ad9a02d587456e1c092b18df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof BYU Cougars, Dayton Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4602…3315backed Dayton Flyers | 15c | 16,646$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.96 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dayton Flyers | 17c | 16,443$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.51 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dayton Flyers | 24c | 8,440$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dayton Flyers | 21c | 2,585$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.56 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dayton Flyers | 15c | 2,574$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dayton Flyers | 16c | 1,210$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dayton Flyers | 22c | 1,123$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.1 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed BYU Cougars | 71c | 1,103$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.51 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Dayton Flyers | 14c | 969$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Dayton Flyers | 43c | 939.53$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Dayton Flyers | 16c | 923.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Dayton Flyers | 11c | 695$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dayton Flyers | 16c | 659.35$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Dayton Flyers | 17c | 575.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Dayton Flyers | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Dayton Flyers | 17c | 499.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Dayton Flyers | 16c | 470.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Dayton Flyers | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked BYU Cougars | 68c | 295.7$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Dayton Flyers | 35c | 286.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…29dfbacked Dayton Flyers | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed BYU Cougars | 73c | 222$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Dayton Flyers | 46c | 154$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked BYU Cougars | 68c | 117$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef8…c6b7backed Dayton Flyers | 20c | 104$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed BYU Cougars | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Dayton Flyers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Dayton Flyers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Dayton Flyers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Dayton Flyers | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked BYU Cougars | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…e0d1backed BYU Cougars | 67c | 72.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed BYU Cougars | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Dayton Flyers | 32c | 62.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked BYU Cougars | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Dayton Flyers | 30c | 46.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed BYU Cougars | 64c | 18.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.