College Football · resolved market
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30487872863114f0b88675984b5d8082c5f125a5b913b8a5ecd9582d8a14625c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UTSA Roadrunnersof UTSA Roadrunners, Charlotte 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 65,677$7,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,219.38 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 25,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 10,704$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.39 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…ed77backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 9,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…baf7backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 8,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 6,282$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3807…b0abbacked Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 2,390$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 2,051$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.56 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 1,800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Charlotte 49ers | 13c | 1,200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 1,030$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.64 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 1,022$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…0d09backed Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 999.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 829.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba47…c25dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…bd62backed Charlotte 49ers | 13c | 733.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Charlotte 49ers | 2c | 650$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…665bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Charlotte 49ers | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 434.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 426.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37a…50f2backed Charlotte 49ers | 7c | 364.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…554dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…1790backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 236.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Charlotte 49ers | 10c | 222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 209.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 167.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 166.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Charlotte 49ers | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…9e4fbacked Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ersthis page
- O/U 61.5Under won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-17.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-18.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ers: 1H MoneylineUTSA Roadrunners won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 58.5Under won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 59.5Under won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 60.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.