College Football · resolved market
Western Kentucky vs. LSU
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7abdd9d79a10a69c44978998a86cc7527a5c2ac37fcb7822c358bedde901c40d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LSUof Western Kentucky, LSU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Western Kentucky | 17c | 31,342$5,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,344.92 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Western Kentucky | 13c | 5,869$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.75 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Western Kentucky | 7c | 3,571$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Western Kentucky | 11c | 2,502$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.22 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Western Kentucky | 6c | 2,282$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.92 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Western Kentucky | 13c | 2,147$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.92 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Western Kentucky | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Western Kentucky | 6c | 2,028$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Western Kentucky | 7c | 1,800$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Western Kentucky | 18c | 1,740$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Western Kentucky | 6c | 1,501$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Western Kentucky | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…0381backed Western Kentucky | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed LSU | 79c | 1,218$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Western Kentucky | 13c | 1,078$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.17 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Western Kentucky | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed LSU | 76c | 502$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Western Kentucky | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Western Kentucky | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Western Kentucky | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Western Kentucky | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Western Kentucky | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…11f6backed Western Kentucky | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Western Kentucky | 4c | 418.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Western Kentucky | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Western Kentucky | 9c | 342.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Western Kentucky | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…1853backed Western Kentucky | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…0c51backed Western Kentucky | 8c | 298.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Western Kentucky | 7c | 286$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Western Kentucky | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Western Kentucky | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Western Kentucky | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Western Kentucky | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Western Kentucky | 9c | 170.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc49…0daabacked Western Kentucky | 14c | 143.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed LSU | 78c | 85.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Western Kentucky | 19c | 82.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Western Kentucky | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…3ed4backed LSU | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed LSU | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Kentucky vs. LSUthis page
- O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: LSU (-21.5)Western Kentucky won
- Spread: LSU (-22.5)Western Kentucky won
- Spread: LSU (-23.5)Western Kentucky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.