NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3be72d73b83fcd0963fa478e34f52b29a6c47e35edd0b53f8444d057be9d586a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 52c | 5,445$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.28 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 4,486$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 1,664$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 41c | 1,200$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.35 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 55c | 252$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 45c | 252$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…63f4backed Under | 43c | 159$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a4…485abacked Over | 57c | 148$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 58c | 96.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 86.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 59c | 67.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 58c | 67.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…1dd6backed Over | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 62c | 19.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…6b31backed Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5this page
- Jazz vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Jazz vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.