NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a3092ec8e0588502ad689f29c4fdaf50d5b56d3b5fb718a8b16480895565b40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc933…5366backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 7,563$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 53c | 7,489$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…ce24backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 3,739$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.72 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 48c | 3,687$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.76 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 53c | 3,143$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.3 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Under | 47c | 2,698$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Under | 47c | 2,137$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.23 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 50c | 1,655$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.6 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 490$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.3 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 477$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.39 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 52c | 385.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 218.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 51c | 194$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 42c | 161$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 58c | 161$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 32.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 239.5this page
- Jazz vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Jazz vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.