NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b5f360f8069ee4ab7ffc30cf27a931cb672d15a7bf5082fabeb87f7b52f57c1

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 6, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $47,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,523 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under	51c	28,437$14,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,603.01	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over	49c	21,647$10,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,055.41	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff8c…ba2dbacked Over	53c	4,919$2,607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,311.62	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.35per pick	48cpaid	+90.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Under	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over	52c	3,726$1,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,788.34	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	48c	1,896$904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$992.3	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	45c	1,722$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$946.48	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	47c	1,477$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.78	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	1,136$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.41	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	48c	1,128$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.56	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over	52c	1,040$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.2	183	45.4%83 W · 100 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	230	47%108 W · 122 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	52c	499.99$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over	48c	497.22$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.55	362	48.9%177 W · 185 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over	48c	430$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.6	406	48%195 W · 211 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	47c	414.17$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.66	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under	54c	322.04$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.9	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Under	53c	264.79$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.34	134	64.2%86 W · 48 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Under	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	107	35.5%38 W · 69 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	54c	240$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.6	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over	46c	168.42$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.94	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedcf…0446backed Under	52c	134$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	51c	130.1$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.17	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	45c	111.11$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.11	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	118	48.3%57 W · 61 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	380	48.7%185 W · 195 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	112	51.8%58 W · 54 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over	48c	87$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.24	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d8…bf10backed Over	49c	69$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.19	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	43cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x786c…4a00backed Over	49c	65$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.15	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+63.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Under	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Over	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	236	42.4%100 W · 136 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	46c	38.89$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.89	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43af…da96backed Over	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event