NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1dee0a5018f28334677d1af299b071618743238999543a1eab5886fdcf9b851

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 6, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $60,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,869 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over	52c	37,975$19,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,270.99	200	55%110 W · 90 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	14,835$7,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,150.24	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under	48c	8,315$3,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,991	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,940	362	48.9%177 W · 185 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under	53c	5,206$2,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,737.48	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under	48c	3,596$1,726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,726.08	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	48c	3,186$1,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,543.22	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under	52c	3,043$1,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,571.61	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	48c	2,857$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,371.5	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under	49c	2,760$1,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,352.4	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	48c	2,007$963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.36	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under	48c	1,925$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924	189	54.5%103 W · 86 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x244e…6b81backed Over	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.31	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	45c	1,841$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,004.88	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Over	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.18	178	56.2%100 W · 78 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	45c	1,242$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.6	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	256	42.6%109 W · 147 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under	48c	703$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.44	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	49c	612$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.12	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d53…061cbacked Under	40c	500$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Over	53c	492.45$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.45	84	38.1%32 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Under	48c	457.29$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.5	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Under	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	48c	333.87$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.26	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over	48c	299.4$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.69	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Over	51c	235.29$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.29	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	55c	205.5$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.48	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Under	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	288	38.2%110 W · 178 L	-18.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Under	47c	180$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.6	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over	48c	155.01$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.61	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.6wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under	48c	96$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.24	326	49.7%162 W · 164 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under	48c	96$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.24	318	52.2%166 W · 152 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under	48c	96$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.24	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under	48c	96$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.24	251	50.2%126 W · 125 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	48c	91.48$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.91	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Under	49c	76$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.05	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Under	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92dc…ae66backed Over	55c	52.73$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.73	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under	48c	48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	245	52.7%129 W · 116 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb664…5ca7backed Over	54c	40.74$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.74	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	46c	40.74$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.74	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	52c	38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Under	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under	48c	29.53$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	302	44%133 W · 169 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Under	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	710	44.6%317 W · 393 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…978abacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event