Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Wyoming Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c2d7b7191cc0677aa95695558047284076440bcdab88cfd3f11a4b710922ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wyoming Cowboysof Dartmouth Big Green, Wyoming Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 34c | 19,500$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Dartmouth Big Green | 23c | 9,961$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.22 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 65c | 9,531$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.15 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wyoming Cowboys | 75c | 7,055$5,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.15 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 73c | 2,893$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 77c | 2,753$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.23 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wyoming Cowboys | 73c | 2,753$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.08 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wyoming Cowboys | 64c | 1,563$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.85 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wyoming Cowboys | 62c | 1,231$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.93 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Dartmouth Big Green | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Wyoming Cowboys | 55c | 1,072$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.9 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wyoming Cowboys | 68c | 998.13$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.23 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 8c | 800.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wyoming Cowboys | 70c | 751.14$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 22c | 459.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Dartmouth Big Green | 22c | 455.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Dartmouth Big Green | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…c30ebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 259.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 18c | 245$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Dartmouth Big Green | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Dartmouth Big Green | 29c | 217.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 7c | 217.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Dartmouth Big Green | 22c | 209.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Dartmouth Big Green | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Dartmouth Big Green | 21c | 186.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 69c | 174.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Dartmouth Big Green | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Dartmouth Big Green | 28c | 106.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wyoming Cowboys | 63c | 72.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Wyoming Cowboys | 71c | 48.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 28c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Wyoming Cowboys | 78c | 42.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3b…05cfbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…2370backed Wyoming Cowboys | 64c | 26.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Wyoming Cowboys | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Wyoming Cowboys | 73c | 23.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Wyoming Cowboysthis page
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 155.5Over won
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 157.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.