Premier League · resolved market
Will Blackpool FC win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x731caa8a304887967f7cbddbab6a1ab9e577fab22d24cc979df7951fe3b1148f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 44c | 40,000$17,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,699.99 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 11,112$5,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,808.59 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 50c | 10,100$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,027.98 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 46c | 9,796$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,289.9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 54c | 4,634$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.35 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 49c | 2,686$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.48 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 2,347$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.66 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 987.8$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.7 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 49c | 610$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 48c | 446.22$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.36 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 49c | 323.32$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.43 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 317$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 51c | 244.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 13c | 204.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 141.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Yes | 52c | 130.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 56c | 118$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 115$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 29c | 102.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 48c | 91.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 87.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 57c | 75.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…cdb1backed No | 50c | 55.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…0732backed No | 49c | 55.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked No | 50c | 52.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed No | 50c | 50.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed No | 53c | 50.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 48c | 47.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Yes | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…2850backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…0acbbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 54c | 19.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Blackpool FC win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Blackpool FC vs. Carlisle United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Carlisle United FC win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.