CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cced82596680350b4221e28f501c0a75adf0c4ec29787178f93f32e6d98657d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof Leo Team, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked ex-RUSTEC | 51c | 386.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.44 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Leo Team | 39c | 382.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Leo Team | 39c | 339.67$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 302.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed ex-RUSTEC | 38c | 233.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC | 52c | 169.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leo Team | 35c | 168.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Leo Team | 40c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Leo Team | 26c | 123.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUSTEC | 72c | 113.74$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Leo Team | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Leo Team | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 96.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 83.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Leo Team | 36c | 58.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 58.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Leo Team | 52c | 55.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Leo Team | 53c | 53.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Leo Team | 53c | 53.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Leo Team | 51c | 48.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Leo Team | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ex-RUSTEC | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Leo Team | 37c | 41.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 286 | 37.4%107 W · 179 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…59d2backed ex-RUSTEC | 57c | 34.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed7…2146backed ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c19…6d8abacked ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Leo Team | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88f…434dbacked Leo Team | 52c | 26.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 59c | 26.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 26.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 208 | 54.8%114 W · 94 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed ex-RUSTEC | 48c | 25.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Leo Team | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stageex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.