CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1a077db2c53e1f17b11a15dce940d5defd376211a66da9844cf291315ce5d94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked ex-RUSTEC | 32c | 2,475$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.99 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Leo Team | 69c | 1,315$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.36 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC | 10c | 555.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Leo Team | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Leo Team | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Leo Team | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Leo Team | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 18c | 86.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Leo Team | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Leo Team | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Leo Team | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Leo Team | 76c | 38.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed ex-RUSTEC | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Leo Team | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Leo Team | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed ex-RUSTEC | 51c | 19.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stageex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.