CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ex-RUBY (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x799d976e18690453c9206c359e41368537c266b799fff603cd9b1606bffb10ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked ex-RUBY | 39c | 886.93$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 529 | 36.3%192 W · 337 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 38c | 749.2$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.7 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ex-RUBY | 36c | 666.08$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.12 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 544.35$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.85 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 464.62$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked ex-RUBY | 42c | 461.37$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 460.72$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.19 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Eternal Fire | 58c | 428.27$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.79 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 350$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 320.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Eternal Fire | 64c | 313.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0f79backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 303.13$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 266.67$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 254.35$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.54 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf357…14a9backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 249.08$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 244.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 243.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 347 | 50.1%174 W · 173 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 242.71$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 224.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 224.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUBY | 33c | 222.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 36c | 214.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 206.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 180.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 147.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb66…83d3backed Eternal Fire | 68c | 147.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 129.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 123$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 486 | 54.5%265 W · 221 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…8a9bbacked Eternal Fire | 63c | 122.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 117.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 61cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 103.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c43…6f23backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked ex-RUBY | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Eternal Fire | 61c | 98.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…dcdebacked Eternal Fire | 63c | 89.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 78.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed ex-RUBY | 40c | 74.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-RUBY | 33c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUBY | 40c | 73.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…9436backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 62.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked ex-RUBY | 36c | 57.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked ex-RUBY | 37c | 54.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 513 | 52%267 W · 246 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2d…75fcbacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 53.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 52.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 52.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUBY | 33c | 51.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…35c7backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 51.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-RUBY | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 48.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked Eternal Fire | 79c | 42.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…1528backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 41.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked ex-RUBY | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…1999backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 39.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…ba1fbacked ex-RUBY | 46c | 37.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 34.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked ex-RUBY | 39c | 27.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Eternal Fire | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 26.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked ex-RUBY | 41c | 25.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 25.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 24.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 528 | 50.6%267 W · 261 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eternal Fire | 64c | 24.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Eternal Fire | 57c | 19.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 412 | 54.9%226 W · 186 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4834…fafabacked Eternal Fire | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Eternal Fire | 76c | 15.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 206 | 53.9%111 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.