TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: GIANTX GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SK Nebulaof GIANTX GC, SK Nebula
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,547 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5944…764ebacked SK Nebula64c1,712$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.764163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed GIANTX GC17c1,628$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5146326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked GIANTX GC25c1,124$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5728143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed GIANTX GC31c798.68$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2417948.6%87 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed SK Nebula67c739.99$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.582254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked GIANTX GC12c724.22$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3410628.3%30 W · 76 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked SK Nebula75c658.81$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9228743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed GIANTX GC25c624.58$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0693148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked SK Nebula69c567.45$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.251353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed SK Nebula75c480.81$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3744342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked GIANTX GC9c463.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.715232.9%50 W · 102 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1602…fbb0backed GIANTX GC44c459.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ef…7d38backed SK Nebula68c420$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.41080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+55.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed GIANTX GC34c411.7$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.734337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed GIANTX GC25c387.53$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8718735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed GIANTX GC21c340.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-25%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0af3…9cb5backed SK Nebula64c337.6$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.942040%8 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed GIANTX GC32c288.02$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1663447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed SK Nebula73c277.91$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.984042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked SK Nebula73c274.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7362856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed GIANTX GC13c261.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked SK Nebula68c260.92$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.49475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed GIANTX GC34c259.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3349255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed GIANTX GC32c228$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.248349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GIANTX GC37c209.38$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed GIANTX GC27c204.73$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2827145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed GIANTX GC26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed GIANTX GC24c198.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8339646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed SK Nebula78c192.49$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.56055%33 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed GIANTX GC36c183.09$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0751749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad7…b976backed GIANTX GC10c166.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98eb…8c14backed SK Nebula64c165$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked GIANTX GC33c151$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.834946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked GIANTX GC16c137.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.572025%5 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GIANTX GC15c137.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.611,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x489b…a6ecbacked SK Nebula67c135.5$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.711145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked GIANTX GC8c134.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked SK Nebula75c131.79$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3590733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked GIANTX GC34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.822440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed SK Nebula67c113.37$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.416454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72da…9b77backed GIANTX GC22c105.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.163844.7%17 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc92…cc39backed GIANTX GC12c97.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.08812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked SK Nebula66c93.2$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3796245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX GC32c90.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5993049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed GIANTX GC32c88.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.581338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed SK Nebula68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2411844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked GIANTX GC33c86.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5720051.5%103 W · 97 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked SK Nebula65c86.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1434443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked SK Nebula71c83.57$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.511,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed GIANTX GC34c83.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5128252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde57…666fbacked SK Nebula68c77.9$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked SK Nebula70c76.12$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked GIANTX GC30c74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0860154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed GIANTX GC26c72.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed SK Nebula66c69.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.959845.9%45 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a8…04b4backed SK Nebula76c65.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed SK Nebula79c63.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.585937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed GIANTX GC34c62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1856551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked GIANTX GC33c60.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff95…9064backed SK Nebula74c58.35$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.352356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed SK Nebula65c56.26$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9f…75cabacked SK Nebula76c52.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.38475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed GIANTX GC32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e0…d8b8backed GIANTX GC37c46.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a8…8c5cbacked SK Nebula71c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked GIANTX GC34c44.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.083836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed GIANTX GC25c44.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0365347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed SK Nebula73c40.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0366650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed SK Nebula75c40.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.136952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed GIANTX GC35c39.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked SK Nebula61c39.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.432853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed SK Nebula64c37.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked GIANTX GC36c37.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.59145.1%41 W · 50 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdfae…155ebacked SK Nebula63c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbea9…677ebacked SK Nebula72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.721275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked SK Nebula75c34.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.532157.6%185 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed SK Nebula63c32.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9222346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked GIANTX GC35c30.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.451827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked SK Nebula65c29.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.261241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed SK Nebula68c22.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28454.8%46 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e5b…fc11backed SK Nebula79c20.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.382564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed SK Nebula71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.82860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked SK Nebula75c13.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3418148.6%88 W · 93 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.