Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs SK Nebula - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96735b2ccfcdb6d026aa50d2b61e993df6ba7538417903492147308c0b9da446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX GCof GIANTX GC, SK Nebula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa233…41f9backed GIANTX GC | 41c | 1,771$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SK Nebula | 57c | 1,443$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.67 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked SK Nebula | 64c | 623.14$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.02 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed GIANTX GC | 51c | 493.34$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.34 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked SK Nebula | 24c | 474.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GIANTX GC | 30c | 466.47$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.17 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…239fbacked GIANTX GC | 62c | 434.33$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked SK Nebula | 75c | 254.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SK Nebula | 46c | 237.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed SK Nebula | 70c | 213.74$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed GIANTX GC | 65c | 213$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked GIANTX GC | 24c | 212.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.34 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked SK Nebula | 76c | 212$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SK Nebula | 64c | 141.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GIANTX GC | 38c | 138$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed SK Nebula | 66c | 137.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX GC | 45c | 105.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked SK Nebula | 68c | 102.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked SK Nebula | 33c | 92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SK Nebula | 47c | 88.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SK Nebula | 51c | 81.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed GIANTX GC | 25c | 72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed SK Nebula | 47c | 69.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed SK Nebula | 62c | 52.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed SK Nebula | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked GIANTX GC | 54c | 46.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed GIANTX GC | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed SK Nebula | 32c | 40.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked SK Nebula | 40c | 27.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked SK Nebula | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SK Nebula | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked SK Nebula | 62c | 16.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: GIANTX GC vs SK Nebula - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: GIANTX GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA PlayoffsSK Nebula won
- Valorant: GIANTX GC vs SK Nebula - Map 1 WinnerSK Nebula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.