Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Lesa Men: Pierluigi Basile vs Alexander Weis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d641474b5aea860735d48526e084037b9fbd6b820d313552abc37a71459bfdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pierluigi Basileof Pierluigi Basile, Alexander Weis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Alexander Weis | 49c | 2,578$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.32 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexander Weis | 45c | 2,471$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Pierluigi Basile | 46c | 2,256$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.79 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Pierluigi Basile | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Pierluigi Basile | 55c | 755$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.75 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Pierluigi Basile | 19c | 651.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.48 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Alexander Weis | 40c | 509.22$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.23 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Alexander Weis | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Pierluigi Basile | 58c | 352.09$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.88 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pierluigi Basile | 58c | 325.96$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…14ffbacked Pierluigi Basile | 61c | 296.57$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.79 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Alexander Weis | 40c | 264.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Pierluigi Basile | 57c | 241.39$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexander Weis | 42c | 222.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…c4ddbacked Pierluigi Basile | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Pierluigi Basile | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pierluigi Basile | 64c | 172.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Pierluigi Basile | 74c | 164.57$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Pierluigi Basile | 62c | 160.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Alexander Weis | 51c | 116.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Pierluigi Basile | 70c | 115.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Alexander Weis | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Pierluigi Basile | 64c | 93.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Pierluigi Basile | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +12.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Pierluigi Basile | 62c | 72.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Pierluigi Basile | 64c | 71.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Pierluigi Basile | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Alexander Weis | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pierluigi Basile | 63c | 59.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Pierluigi Basile | 46c | 37.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Pierluigi Basile | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Alexander Weis | 56c | 35.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alexander Weis | 54c | 30.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Pierluigi Basile | 58c | 28.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Alexander Weis | 56c | 25.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Pierluigi Basile | 48c | 24.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Pierluigi Basile | 60c | 18.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Alexander Weis | 80c | 18.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M25 Lesa Men: Pierluigi Basile vs Alexander Weisthis page
- ITF M25 Lesa Men: Completed Match: Pierluigi Basile vs Alexander WeisYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.