NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9374d2793ddc4e069adcc82636e0c2c8040ba29f08ab00d64cc5dc4fdaef4c77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 42c | 1,588$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.05 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 57c | 1,081$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.94 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 679.61$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.65 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 58c | 610.3$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.33 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 55c | 454$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 45c | 454$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 40c | 374.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Over | 60c | 335.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 313.81$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…bbb3backed Over | 55c | 298.75$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 46c | 263.58$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 41c | 241.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 58c | 233.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 41c | 165.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 57c | 154.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Over | 66c | 151.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c59…bda5backed Under | 45c | 149.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b5…f69fbacked Under | 45c | 149.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 41c | 68.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 19c | 54.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 66c | 52.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…7219backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 42c | 48.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 46.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 42.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 58c | 41.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…c4b2backed Over | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Over | 55c | 36.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…5bf0backed Under | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fee…842bbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 72c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. RangersRangers won
- Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.