NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2874ec7a582908bf78d3c50a6bc729ff0fc25fecebbd366d8f64061042d62d7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 48c | 10,238$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,323.71 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…4badbacked Under | 56c | 5,776$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,212 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 5,211$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.57 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 5,055$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.06 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 44c | 3,215$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.02 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 1,594$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.53 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 1,082$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 1,005$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.6 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Under | 52c | 770.98$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.91 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 710.24$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.32 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 47c | 647.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.44 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 591$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.32 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 545.91$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.25 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 46c | 521.19$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.18 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Over | 61c | 511$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 477$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.12 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…0abdbacked Under | 52c | 466.5$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Under | 53c | 435.74$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 397.73$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 68c | 350.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.73 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 349.47$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.24 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Under | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 44c | 289.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 57c | 287.72$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…4ef5backed Over | 69c | 284.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 265.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Under | 52c | 246$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 46c | 194.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 52c | 176$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Over | 50c | 170.7$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 65c | 163.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 57c | 139.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 48c | 130.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 56c | 127.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 54c | 125.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 45c | 120.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 48c | 106$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 63c | 88.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 46c | 76.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 56.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 55.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 53c | 52.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Over | 45c | 45.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 57c | 41.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 40.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 52c | 34.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…5bf0backed Under | 54c | 28.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…a5c3backed Over | 47c | 28.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 52c | 27.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 52c | 26.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 26.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…bf8bbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 44c | 23.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Over | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 64c | 15.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. RangersRangers won
- Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.