NHL · resolved market
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x972d443a35aefa54d349b96e2608eab9f8762998bddf8f4b1136411c005d48b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rangers | 41c | 931$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.03 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rangers | 40c | 697$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.91 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Blackhawks | 59c | 513$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.34 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…5e52backed Blackhawks | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Blackhawks | 60c | 394$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.4 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Rangers | 39c | 358.24$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Blackhawks | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Rangers | 31c | 318.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.54 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Blackhawks | 60c | 290.74$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blackhawks | 60c | 277.31$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.39 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 44c | 254.86$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.75 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Blackhawks | 68c | 253.51$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.69 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Blackhawks | 54c | 227.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Rangers | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Rangers | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Blackhawks | 60c | 166.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Blackhawks | 61c | 163.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Blackhawks | 59c | 163.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blackhawks | 62c | 130.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rangers | 38c | 126.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Rangers | 39c | 123.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blackhawks | 60c | 88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Rangers | 39c | 70.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rangers | 39c | 68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Rangers | 39c | 64.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks | 61c | 64.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rangers | 38c | 63.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rangers | 38c | 61.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…2579backed Rangers | 40c | 58.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Rangers | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…b029backed Rangers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Rangers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…9199backed Rangers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Blackhawks | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Rangers | 59c | 47.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Blackhawks | 62c | 45.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 59c | 42.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Blackhawks | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Rangers | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Rangers | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…8a3bbacked Blackhawks | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rangers | 68c | 32.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Blackhawks | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Blackhawks | 62c | 20.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blackhawks | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Blackhawks | 62c | 16.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. RangersRangers won
- Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.