Asian League · resolved market
Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d318baaca084c368d6d21fe1fd5606739f4d4fcc4ffbdbf33122698c461ef60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 30c | 1,330$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 70c | 1,289$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.39 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 831.84$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 63c | 791.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.05 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 27c | 662.51$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…9a33backed Over | 45c | 616$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 35cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.39 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Under | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Under | 28c | 301.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…ef53backed Over | 43c | 261.02$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 59c | 237.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Over | 71c | 205$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 64c | 153.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 30c | 145.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 55c | 136.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Over | 68c | 131.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 29c | 114.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 70c | 106.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 62c | 99.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 68c | 99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 36c | 79.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 77.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 52c | 75.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 28c | 70.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 34c | 61.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 25c | 55.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7006…8336backed Over | 71c | 49.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 72c | 48.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 28c | 47.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Under | 30c | 42.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Over | 71c | 42.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 28c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 35.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 71c | 33.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 43c | 24.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…5118backed Over | 72c | 14.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5this page
- Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-2.5)Vissel Kōbe won
- Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.