Asian League · resolved market
Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x719a15f53fb9bdb1571eaf721ee54930a6b77bc4a7bfd684c9171a05dbcee729
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 4c | 1,314$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 28c | 715.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 2c | 706.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 19c | 673.26$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 27c | 570$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 402.35$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 40c | 310$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 19c | 305.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 29c | 299.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…d50ebacked Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Under | 56c | 256$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 54c | 216.3$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Over | 47c | 214.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 50c | 200.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 57c | 175.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 56c | 161.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 154.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 12c | 139.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 103$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 97.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 54c | 83.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 27c | 66.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Under | 56c | 59.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Under | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 75c | 41.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 71c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe19b…4b86backed Under | 47c | 33.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 32c | 31.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 46c | 24.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 44c | 23.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5this page
- Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-2.5)Vissel Kōbe won
- Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.