Tennis · resolved market
ITF Curtea de Arges: Theo Papamalamis vs Stefan Horia Haita
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14ca780e419646198d22649871f32e6b1b2193a8b54079d6509870afaa43be5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefan Horia Haitaof Theo Papamalamis, Stefan Horia Haita
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 44c | 1,071$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.66 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Theo Papamalamis | 40c | 862$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.8 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Stefan Horia Haita | 22c | 833$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.39 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed Theo Papamalamis | 43c | 801.04$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.56 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Theo Papamalamis | 62c | 594$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.04 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Theo Papamalamis | 52c | 540.38$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stefan Horia Haita | 52c | 366.65$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.34 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Theo Papamalamis | 45c | 336.8$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Stefan Horia Haita | 60c | 314.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefan Horia Haita | 39c | 170.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 56c | 158$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Stefan Horia Haita | 56c | 128.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 28c | 127.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Theo Papamalamis | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Theo Papamalamis | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…3691backed Theo Papamalamis | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Theo Papamalamis | 45c | 60.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 41c | 48.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Theo Papamalamis | 41c | 46.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092a…8577backed Theo Papamalamis | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stefan Horia Haita | 46c | 22.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Theo Papamalamis | 70c | 21.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Theo Papamalamis | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.