TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,049
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,049 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c849.79$494 inWon+$355.373,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over47c421.21$200 inLost-$2009741.2%40 W · 57 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Over42c414.29$174 inLost-$1749948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c305.56$140 inLost-$139.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae3…6c99backed Over41c260.43$108 inLost-$1081030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under52c243.58$127 inWon+$116.9211963%75 W · 44 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under53c235$125 inWon+$110.452,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under54c234.79$127 inWon+$107.712,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Under59c150$89 inWon+$61.512871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x52f9…3691backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost-$502045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Over41c108.77$45 inLost-$44.68938.2%34 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4efe…d987backed Over42c71.43$30 inLost-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b5…b6c8backed Over41c51.22$21 inLost-$2111526.1%30 W · 85 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over40c51.21$20 inLost-$20.4822752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.