TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,714 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf438…9559backed Under46c7,429$3,417 inWon+$4,011.4214449.3%71 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over54c4,026$2,174 inLost-$2,173.8811545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over54c1,296$700 inLost-$70089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over53c898.37$476 inLost-$475.84,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c629.28$337 inLost-$336.572,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…6e4ebacked Over54c429$232 inLost-$231.667475.7%56 W · 18 L+10.8wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c398.99$190 inWon+$209.083,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over54c300$162 inLost-$16267354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e06…11bcbacked Over53c228.09$121 inLost-$121.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Under47c149.98$70 inWon+$79.4912871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over15c72.68$11 inLost-$10.96229%18 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Over53c54.72$29 inLost-$291662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Over44c51.41$23 inLost-$22.624839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2738…cab7backed Over46c43.83$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under47c30$14 inWon+$15.92,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost-$151866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa09c…2fe5backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x137f…ad22backed Over54c27.78$15 inLost-$154540%18 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over53c21.28$11 inLost-$11.282,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.