Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x722b85936a004f310badc1ce2691b8d5a80d62bd862ca062022832e62c3779f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 58c | 1,065$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.36 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 21c | 974.71$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 52c | 862.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.69 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Over | 46c | 783.35$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.93 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under | 66c | 766.34$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.16 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Under | 79c | 754.9$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Over | 47c | 636.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Over | 39c | 616.95$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.82 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 27c | 462.07$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 402.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.41 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 70c | 284.22$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 78c | 270$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 262.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 57c | 259.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.72 | 119 | 63%75 W · 44 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e9…5f6cbacked Under | 64c | 155.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 66c | 152.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…ca09backed Over | 44c | 148.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…8457backed Over | 39c | 145.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 143.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Over | 71c | 141.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 141.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 45c | 113.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…0935backed Over | 76c | 111.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 111.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…6c0cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed Under | 60c | 99.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 19c | 97.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…dfa3backed Over | 66c | 83.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…9ba1backed Over | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x053a…ee8cbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…6798backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 51c | 59.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…832fbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 57c | 54.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 22c | 53.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…4f85backed Under | 49c | 53.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 37c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…b1b3backed Under | 55c | 50.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over | 42c | 47.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…49f3backed Over | 60c | 46.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…e2dcbacked Under | 52c | 38.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ecc5backed Over | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…7a96backed Over | 77c | 31.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…eaa7backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 76cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…1d5dbacked Over | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04c…3c4fbacked Under | 52c | 20.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First CornerUnited States won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.