Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Iowa State Cyclones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d07b2c0cb91007e7ff30075ac00e9d15d4b8819d009b763fecd8df5c97ec8b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa State Cyclonesof Iowa Hawkeyes, Iowa State Cyclones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 37c | 27,323$10,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,013.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 14c | 7,601$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.4 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 15c | 5,984$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.6 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Iowa State Cyclones | 69c | 5,130$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.38 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iowa State Cyclones | 54c | 5,038$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.06 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Iowa State Cyclones | 57c | 4,167$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.8 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa State Cyclones | 64c | 3,848$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.81 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 26c | 2,028$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Iowa State Cyclones | 57c | 1,762$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.61 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…79fbbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 18c | 1,629$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 13c | 1,329$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.27 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 17c | 1,271$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.05 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 64c | 1,100$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.08 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 11c | 800$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 76c | 781.52$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 13c | 730.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 71c | 647$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.54 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…ef52backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 23c | 499.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 13c | 485$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 41c | 465.32$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.65 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…24d7backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 38c | 437.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.05 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 42c | 432.88$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 60c | 411.71$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Iowa State Cyclones | 57c | 348$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iowa State Cyclones | 74c | 288.83$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 23c | 247.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 12c | 167$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff84…e11bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 16c | 154.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 13c | 153.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 15c | 153$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 15c | 129.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 15c | 112.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 17c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Iowa State Cyclones | 79c | 99.62$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 12c | 92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 12c | 89.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 13c | 82.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…92ecbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 60c | 80.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 22c | 74.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Iowa State Cyclones | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Iowa State Cyclones | 55c | 58.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 61c | 25.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Iowa State Cyclones | 60c | 17.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.