Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lafayette Leopards vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf50650f6bb0d31acbbab9716eaa5d7c3dd53e971e62f3c9873a8ad9961ae1307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $534,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $537,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 48c | 528,572$253,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253,701.95 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 52c | 260,101$135,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,799.62 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 52c | 176,686$91,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,809.21 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 54c | 5,199$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.2 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 52c | 5,135$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.8 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 376.14$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.77 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 53c | 198.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Under | 60c | 173.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 53c | 97.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 53c | 83.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…d10fbacked Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Under | 59c | 33.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 32.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 53c | 28.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 44c | 28.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 60c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 144.5this page
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Navy MidshipmenNavy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-7.5)Navy Midshipmen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.