Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lafayette Leopards vs. Navy Midshipmen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9cf53a0719e1d37c85eb8ce06c97d9ed8f12c708e156500fa832a7c236b5a4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navy Midshipmenof Lafayette Leopards, Navy Midshipmen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lafayette Leopards | 2c | 2,615$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lafayette Leopards | 18c | 2,401$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 80c | 2,100$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Lafayette Leopards | 20c | 1,550$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Lafayette Leopards | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lafayette Leopards | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lafayette Leopards | 18c | 957.18$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.29 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lafayette Leopards | 4c | 831$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lafayette Leopards | 18c | 546$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 80c | 538.5$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 19c | 478.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lafayette Leopards | 3c | 402.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Navy Midshipmen | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lafayette Leopards | 18c | 355.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lafayette Leopards | 20c | 346.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lafayette Leopards | 20c | 322.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Lafayette Leopards | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Lafayette Leopards | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lafayette Leopards | 19c | 121.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…f023backed Navy Midshipmen | 80c | 86.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Lafayette Leopards | 18c | 85.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Navy Midshipmenthis page
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-7.5)Navy Midshipmen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.